Belated-Synergy
0xf97027869b1504c2e031feb1c8e984d1d597b682
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
121 shares @ 80.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-97.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-27.84
- NO
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-5.98
- NO
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.84Nov 6, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$27.00Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$5.98Nov 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$97.00Nov 1, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Halloween" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?$0.00Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Joe Rogan podcast?$0.00Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Paper clip" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$13.33Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 8 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$24.39Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$65.24Nov 1, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$14.15Oct 31, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 8 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$10.00Oct 31, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paper clip" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$10.00Oct 31, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Halloween" during New Mexico rally on October 31?$5.00Oct 31, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?$40.00Oct 31, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "cheat" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Oct 31, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "packers" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Oct 31, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Front Row Joe" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Oct 31, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hannity interview?$0.00Oct 31, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.00Oct 31, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.