0xf97386266dc9de5e69f43d1d2cdd3373dc5a9f80
0xf97386266dc9de5e69f43d1d2cdd3373dc5a9f80
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$186.09
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$106.69Jun 24, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.52Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.55Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.00Jun 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.80Jun 24, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.70Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.30Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Jun 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.33Jun 24, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.80Jun 24, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.61Jun 24, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.96Jun 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.60Jun 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.11Jun 24, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.62Jun 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.05Jun 24, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.25Jun 24, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.35Jun 24, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Jun 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.60Jun 24, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.