Piercing-Blog
0xf97d0c939844b2d538f16953a57bc83a7f4dace6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-299.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7673 shares @ 38.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.8K
$-183.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?
265 shares @ 24.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.86
$-36.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
57 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
40 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
28 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?
1 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?$67.27May 30, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?$67.03May 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?$82.95May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$83.26May 29, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$17.87May 27, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$13.93May 27, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?$0.05May 27, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$31.89May 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$10.22May 24, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$9.69May 24, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.65May 24, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.01May 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.01May 24, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.05May 24, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.03May 24, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $41.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".