Generous-Keyboarding
0xf97db9b325e439e6a8f8c807e4768c57670585dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$83.90
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-343.68
Win rate
34%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?
123 shares @ 62.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$83.90
$7.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?
1295 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-705.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 20?
1000 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-333.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?
405 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-203.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-56.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 23?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-59.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?
198 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?
197 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
44 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$299.67Aug 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?$77.95Aug 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$85.23Aug 20, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$2.04Aug 20, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$3.71Aug 20, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$65.00Aug 20, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?$39.00Aug 20, 09:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?$86.53Aug 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?$17.05Aug 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?$0.42Aug 11, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?$96.00Aug 11, 03:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.25Aug 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$2.54Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$3.63Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$68.50Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$14.97Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$3.60Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$37.44Aug 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$3.00Aug 10, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
34% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $86.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.