0xf990835ebeec993cae906b3cb821701bcf82fe8e
0xf990835ebeec993cae906b3cb821701bcf82fe8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$8.64
Total PnL
$-318.51
Realised
$-24.57
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.90
$1.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$2.90
$1.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$2.85
$1.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.43Jun 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.75Jun 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.94Jun 22, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.72Jun 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.24Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.75Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.43Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.75Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.55Jun 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.69Jun 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.21Jun 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.78Jun 22, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.94Jun 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.78Jun 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.55Jun 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.78Jun 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.94Jun 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.78Jun 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.94Jun 22, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.78Jun 22, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.