Downright-Sovereignty
0xf9910cf7e7b09f32f17459006593f6f479d03c47
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$199.02
Total PnL
$-3.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.00
$0.54
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.93
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.92
$-1.10
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.75
$-0.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
25 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.24
$0.13
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
24 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.72
$0.12
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
29 shares @ 82.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$21.46
$-2.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$21.69May 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$28.28May 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$29.03May 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$29.01May 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23.18May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.18May 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$13.95May 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$29.08May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$12.96May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$33.95May 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$49.38May 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$19.24May 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$24.05May 17, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$49.76May 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$11.22May 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$11.26May 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$11.40May 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$18.60May 15, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.32May 15, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$19.68May 15, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".