Careful-Providence
0xf9939a1e54baa08e4f4d8549f1050f1ee7f6cd9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-570.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
1000 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$956.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$913.66
$6.74
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
500 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$496.75
$22.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
500 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$488.75
$10.75
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$282.60
$3.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$197.70
$3.34
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
200 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$185.50
$1.78
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
10442 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$26.10
$-81.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
28900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-169.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
4075 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-384.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$94.50Jun 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$95.24Jun 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$95.24Jun 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$95.24Jun 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$95.24Jun 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5.97Jun 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$33.91Jun 17, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$85.79Jun 17, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$353.10Jun 17, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$500.00Jun 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$959.06Jun 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$236.25Jun 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$674.88Jun 16, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$200.00Jun 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$5.28Jun 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$9.72Jun 16, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.1KJun 16, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$10.97Jun 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$18.22Jun 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$18.46Jun 16, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $112.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.