Misty-Loan
0xf99673de0e1f3957eb78f5a6d41de12b87725d99
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$43.10
Total PnL
$-61.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$25.86
$10.86
- PANTHERS
Giants vs. Panthers
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2024$17.24
$12.24
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
512 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- BENGALS
Bengals vs. Ravens
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- BRONCOS
Broncos vs. Chiefs
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$5.00Nov 7, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$15.00Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Buccaneers$5.00Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Chiefs$5.00Nov 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Panthers$5.00Nov 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift engaged in 2024?$5.00Nov 7, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Ravens$10.00Nov 7, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$5.00Nov 7, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7.11Nov 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.60Nov 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$0.00Sep 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.97Sep 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$25.00Sep 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Sep 11, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".