Serene-Watchmaker
0xf99b3cccc7bc1a7eb60caf388251f846c225f390
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
922 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?
205 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.00Feb 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$3.02Feb 9, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.16Feb 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.26Feb 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.60Feb 8, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on February 8?$25.12Feb 8, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.05Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.19Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.06Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.30Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.17Feb 8, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.15Feb 8, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.00Feb 8, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?$2.00Feb 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.44Feb 7, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$3.00Feb 6, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".