Outlying-Retrospectivity
0xf99ccb3f3fc293111b4e6a834df78e5354fc2e3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$419.28
Total PnL
$-31.89
Realised
$-6.99
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$319.39
$129.39
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.61
$-129.39
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
15 shares @ 89.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.16
$1.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
13 shares @ 24.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$12.92
$9.74
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
5 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.19
$1.12
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
5 shares @ 32.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$3.36
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
1 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.00
$0.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
40 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
14 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".