Masculine-Recipient
0xf9ad87491077d551f0447045391a2fa82bacf244
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-594.76
Realised
$0.76
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 17?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 22?
1330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 30?
667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 31?
490 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 15?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?
163 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 11?
120 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?$3.48Jul 4, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?$0.82Jul 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?$1.18Jul 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?$16.98Jul 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?$6.47Jul 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?$14.10Jul 4, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?$16.08Jul 4, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?$4.45Jul 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?$4.43Jul 4, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?$13.55Jul 4, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?$15.06Jul 4, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?$1.29Jul 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?$2.67Jul 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?$2.64Jul 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 3?$1.65Jul 3, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?$7.00Jul 3, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?$29.56Jul 3, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?$33.79Jul 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?$3.47Jul 3, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?$7.22Jul 3, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.