Harmful-Amenity
0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$413.21
Total PnL
$2.46
Realised
$15.97
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
262 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$254.20
$16.17
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$96.65
$1.65
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
950 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.65
$-31.85
- NO
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
25 shares @ 74.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$22.37
$3.87
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
17 shares @ 85.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.34
$-0.26
- NO
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?$2.40Jun 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?$0.70Jun 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$71.32Jun 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$11.30Jun 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$28.00Jun 19, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$11.00Jun 19, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$29.75Jun 18, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$95.00Jun 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$4.25Jun 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$4.25Jun 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$4.25Jun 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$43.00Jun 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$24.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$40.54Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$44.75Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$22.50Jun 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$90.00Jun 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$62.73Jun 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$0.05Jun 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12.00Jun 16, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $34.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.