Naive-Ginseng
0xf9b3b23063ca7de56ca91c3fefa43025bca7d64d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-150.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?
179 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?
177 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?
147 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?
82 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?
73 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?
73 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 31?
70 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?
65 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-59.54
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 6PM ET
62 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 9?$2.90Jul 8, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?$2.18Jul 7, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$58.08Jul 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$56.57Jul 3, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?$1.91Jun 25, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$1.47May 31, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$49.92May 29, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$48.92May 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$1.13May 24, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$1.38May 23, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$67.58May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$64.67May 17, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$2.20May 15, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$51.43May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$49.99May 9, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$62.33May 2, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C or higher on February 6?$0.00Apr 25, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET$1.56Apr 18, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 20?$0.00Apr 12, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $18.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.