Truthful-Chassis
0xf9b3dd8e5484a6ce5b15df2cdcef4a6431ba49af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.74
Realised
$-1.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Solana dip to $110 January 19-25?
205 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?
204 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?
199 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 6?
186 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19?
184 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?
178 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
155 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?
141 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 25?
114 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 6?
114 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?$210.93Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?$209.03Jul 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 7?$2.86Jul 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$2.55Jul 2, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 24?$3.26Jun 24, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$194.21May 28, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$3.83May 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$165.67May 28, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$4.97May 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$4.97May 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$8.64May 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$4.97May 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$1.92May 26, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$216.67May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$214.72May 16, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 14?$58.28May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$2.65May 9, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 21?$209.53May 9, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 21?$207.64Apr 21, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $48.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.