Cumbersome-Shower
0xf9b752077c23971a98ab00e1bdc7508b2f39a5d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-6.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 31?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$100.00
$8.00
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$100.00
$35.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- LEADERSHIP CHANGE
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$15.50Mar 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$65.00Mar 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$92.00Mar 25, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.02Mar 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$16.98Mar 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$11.49Mar 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.51Mar 25, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Marxism" in October?$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMMagomedov vs. Pyfer$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMAnkalaev vs. Pereira$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMSoriano vs. Veretennikov$0.00Mar 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Spurs?$1.34Mar 25, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOS by SZA be the top Spotify album for 2025?$4.84Mar 25, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in October?$20.00Mar 25, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in October?$0.03Oct 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?$7.50Oct 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?$4.20Oct 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?$2.60Oct 9, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $212.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.