Poor-Anthropology
0xf9c2257d88e534cb2ef68fa8cddcb11c309cd167
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-268.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 22?
400 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 22?
300 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 22?
300 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 23?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?
170 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?
100 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 22?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 21?
100 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-27.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 22?
100 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 23?$47.96Mar 24, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.57Mar 23, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$6.10Mar 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?$1.05Mar 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?$0.98Mar 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?$0.24Mar 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 23?$0.60Mar 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$0.90Mar 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 23?$0.20Mar 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?$2.94Mar 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 23?$0.86Mar 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$9.20Mar 23, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.