Experienced-Hermit
0xf9c4a1e5c06b3a3fed03b8c3d13dd33cf748f9fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-826.61
Realised
$5.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
11299 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
9245 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?
9086 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?
7987 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-589.74
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
6610 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
4311 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?
365 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?$10.10Mar 2, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 3?$2.01Mar 2, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?$10.00Mar 2, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$18.49Feb 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$47.42Feb 20, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$39.66Feb 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$90.39Feb 15, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$14.53Feb 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?$489.75Feb 15, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.01Feb 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$17.29Feb 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$17.31Feb 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$9.94Feb 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?$100.00Feb 15, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$12.38Feb 15, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.33Feb 15, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $36.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".