Pretty-Capitulation
0xf9c57c1bb725f327b69cf39c1c34dab38779b4de
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$14.03
Total PnL
$-87.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.19
$0.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.05
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$1.89
$0.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$1.89
$0.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?
30 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KOPRIVA
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Kopriva
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 22?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 29?
19 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$1.00Apr 19, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?$5.00Apr 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?$5.00Apr 15, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$2.00Apr 15, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$2.30Apr 15, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$5.69Apr 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$5.00Apr 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$2.00Apr 4, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$2.00Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.07Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$2.05Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?$2.14Mar 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?$1.00Mar 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 18?$1.00Mar 16, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.