Outgoing-Insurgence
0xf9c9de3dbf6502c748b13b43ad7f9baa530a55e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
2804 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%?
2304 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-99.09
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
2164 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
1527 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-98.07
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
1357 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 1-2.0%?
1142 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-57.30
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
903 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
833 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
806 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
764 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 1-2.0%? $57.30Nov 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $75.00Nov 5, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? $85.00Nov 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$217.29Nov 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $23.07Nov 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$23.08Nov 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? $14.09Nov 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$13.68Nov 5, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$16.00Nov 5, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$20.00Nov 5, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$27.60Nov 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$30.00Nov 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$25.00Nov 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$25.00Nov 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$25.00Nov 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$25.00Nov 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$50.00Nov 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$25.00Nov 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$50.00Nov 1, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$50.00Nov 1, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $45.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".