Fixed-Sleep
0xf9dc0c2933ef2ce62c0966e119db86b4d4751108
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.96
Realised
$-25.20
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?
280 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 13?
190 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?
174 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 11?
168 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 11?
128 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?
71 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 11?
48 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 11?
38 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?
32 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00May 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.02May 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.85May 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00May 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.28May 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.02May 21, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.21May 21, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.02May 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.29May 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.02May 21, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.13May 21, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.14May 21, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.15May 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.84May 21, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.02May 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.85May 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.02May 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.89May 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.01May 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.10May 21, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.