Carefree-Matchmaker
0xf9e0833b9c1061a6a88db39d03bed7e8f6c959da
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.08
Total PnL
$-31.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.25
$0.25
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.83
$0.83
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
10 shares @ 60.5¢·now 30.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
26 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$117.56Feb 28, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$63.48Feb 26, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$10.00Jan 19, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$5.00Jan 19, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$10.00Jan 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00Jan 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?$10.00Jan 19, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$6.05Jan 19, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $16.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.