Unpleasant-Distinction
0xf9efef8ec6235e547ae1ce1ff0de4347e68320eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$983.30
Total PnL
$49.72
Realised
$-12.69
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 28?
120 shares @ 87.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$119.34
$14.54
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 28?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$99.85
$47.85
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on July 28?
108 shares @ 44.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$94.39
$46.38
- OVER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$74.00
$20.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 28?
75 shares @ 55.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$72.75
$31.50
- LOTTE GIANTS
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles
100 shares @ 44.0¢·now 60.7¢·exp May 27, 2026$60.70
$16.70
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$59.50
$7.50
- DOOSAN BEARS
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$58.50
$4.50
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 28?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$53.00
$33.00
- SSG LANDERS
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 51.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$51.70
$13.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$12.50Jul 28, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$25.00Jul 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$12.50Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.17Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$12.75Jul 28, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$17.50Jul 28, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$21.28Jul 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$8.57Jul 28, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.06Jul 28, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.64Jul 28, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.64Jul 28, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$13.00Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.01Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$14.61Jul 28, 05:45 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 28?$8.11Jul 28, 05:32 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 28?$50.00Jul 28, 05:32 UTC
- MERGEWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on July 28?$92.13Jul 28, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.