Natural-Oak
0xf9f0d5404ad87b282fd6fdcd1424f7174304fa62
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$939.66
Total PnL
$-532.86
Realised
$-6.64
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?
1599 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$43.18
$-7.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?
43 shares @ 84.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$32.85
$-3.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?
44 shares @ 71.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.29
$-2.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?
887 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$27.05
$10.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15?
77 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.02
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on May 15?
26 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$23.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?
25 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$23.56
$0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?
26 shares @ 80.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$21.67
$0.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
39 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$21.31
$-2.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?
21 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$19.81
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?$3.19May 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$2.11May 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?$6.05May 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 15?$8.80May 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?$7.60May 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 15?$1.37May 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 15?$2.05May 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 15?$4.74May 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?$1.88May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?$4.58May 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?$3.66May 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?$1.86May 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?$3.70May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?$4.72May 13, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET$5.00May 13, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET$5.00May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 14?$4.58May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?$5.84May 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?$1.60May 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 14?$2.85May 13, 20:27 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".