Anxious-Portfolio
0xf9f2c4bb33c907a5ad695e3da747e10bafc6c27c
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$22.57
Total PnL
$-639.99
Realised
$-35.61
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 12?
107 shares @ 23.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$22.46
$-2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?
114 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.06
$-9.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on July 12?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?
894 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?
519 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 26?
436 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?
357 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 12?$25.96Jul 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on July 12?$1.05Jul 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?$10.46Jul 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?$77.66Jul 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$11.33Jul 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?$31.00Jul 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?$17.37Jul 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$30.60Jul 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?$51.40Jul 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?$101.65Jul 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$4.71Jul 10, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?$8.37Jul 10, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?$3.15Jul 10, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$6.90Jul 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?$5.09Jul 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?$0.39Jul 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$11.19Jul 10, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?$12.94Jul 9, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?$5.21Jul 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?$1.05Jul 9, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.