Half-Path
0xf9f2fadb03a828f3024227034283e638bb73771f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$478.09
Total PnL
$-408.79
Realised
$-187.17
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?
480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$463.20
$223.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 7?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$14.89
$7.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
18 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
17 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
15 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.85
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
14 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$360.00Jul 6, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 7?$0.21Jul 6, 02:24 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 7?$5.00Jul 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 7?$0.43Jul 6, 02:22 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 7?$10.00Jul 6, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.13Jul 5, 17:34 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.33Jul 5, 17:33 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.33Jul 5, 17:33 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.33Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.33Jul 5, 17:32 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$1.33Jul 5, 17:31 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$40.00Jul 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$0.69Jul 5, 17:28 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$20.00Jul 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on July 5?$0.69Jul 5, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.