Awkward-Selling
0xf9fa794340f85f31af18f2e7365e069d6b76ea44
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $3.00 on September 10 at 8PM ET?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,500 and $115,000 on September 11 at 4PM ET?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$165.67Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$5.00Jan 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Through the roof" this week? (September 8-14)$0.00Sep 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$5.00Sep 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.00Sep 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.00Sep 13, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Through the roof" this week? (September 8-14)$3.17Sep 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 12?$5.16Sep 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 12?$1.39Sep 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELL10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$0.07Sep 11, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Not American" this week? (September 8-14)$2.10Sep 11, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?$3.00Sep 11, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,500 and $115,000 on September 11 at 4PM ET?$5.00Sep 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?$5.00Sep 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Through the roof" this week? (September 8-14)$2.00Sep 10, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Not American" this week? (September 8-14)$5.00Sep 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on September 10 at 8PM ET?$5.00Sep 10, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 12?$5.00Sep 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 12?$5.00Sep 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$1.00Sep 10, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.