Firsthand-Pate
0xf9fd261e17ad22cfb3189b90435064bb51840fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$11.35
Total PnL
$-0.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-01-17?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- GOLD
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
US bank failure by March 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-17?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$0.00Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of December?$1.00Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $44 in December?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of December?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 28?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.01Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.02Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla reach $570 in December?$1.02Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 29 above $245?$1.02Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strikes Afghanistan by Dec 31?$1.03Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.03Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.05Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".