Grimy-Search
0xfa0618e6fabb1754a8f20034b9c1b2985143c55a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-72.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.10
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET
1600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET
1300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET
200 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.09Jul 23, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.13Jul 12, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Jun 30, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?$1.13Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$2.35Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.92Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jun 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET$0.36Jun 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET$0.64Jun 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET$0.11Jun 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET$1.00Jun 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET$0.89Jun 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.7KJun 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.7KJun 12, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET$5.00Jun 12, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET$10.63Jun 12, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET$0.20Jun 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET$1.07Jun 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET$0.60Jun 12, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 11, 04:40 UTC → Jun 11, 04:36 UTC
- BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.7K@100¢Jun 11, 04:36 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$8.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $253.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.