Upset-Document
0xfa1a53f4dfcb08ea04d2e4030656c6b1b15dd9ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.0K
Realised
$-75.15
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
2338 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-367.18
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
2096 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?
1327 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-203.41
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
1199 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-254.28
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?
1181 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-307.41
- BEARS
Bears vs. Packers
1047 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-196.70
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?
966 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- CHIEFS
Broncos vs. Chiefs
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- ENGEL
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Justin Engel
753 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-108.00
- PRIZMIC
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Nishesh Basavareddy
716 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?$424.50Feb 10, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?$500.00Feb 10, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?$200.00Jan 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?$160.00Jan 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?$160.00Jan 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?$160.00Jan 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?$200.00Jan 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?$200.00Jan 25, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Senators$204.08Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Ducks$204.08Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Devils$222.22Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Oilers (-1.5)$263.16Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Warriors (-7.5)$274.51Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?$300.00Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: 76ers (-7.5)$337.88Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Patriots (-3.5)$340.43Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mavericks (-4.5)$347.83Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Kings$372.09Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Andorra win on 2026-01-18?$421.05Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-17?$432.43Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $114.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".