Happy-Hatbox
0xfa1aa5236027cf548281552aeee646f0133b4484
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?
352 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
160 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
11 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?
3 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
3 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 16?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
2 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$4.00Jun 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$4.00Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?$123.95Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?$128.17Jun 3, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?$124.16Jun 2, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$124.12Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$124.00May 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$123.91May 29, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$123.05May 28, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$123.03May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$121.10May 24, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?$121.65May 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?$118.18May 22, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$117.83May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$115.14May 21, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$115.23May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?$115.01May 19, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$115.11May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$112.15May 17, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$112.22May 16, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $108.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".