0xfa1c66c8d0ec9115a5bfda4a9af57c44d3ba33c1
0xfa1c66c8d0ec9115a5bfda4a9af57c44d3ba33c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
1 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.00
$0.23
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
40420 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.3K
- TRUMP
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
11709 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2024$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Will the debate have 75 million or more viewers?
248 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-86.91
- NO
Will the debate have 65-70 million viewers?
192 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-162.83
- YES
Will the debate have 70-75 million viewers?
77 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-18.75
- YES
Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?
64 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2024$0.00
$-25.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$2.1KDec 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$309.75Nov 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$1.3KNov 25, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$3.88Nov 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$5.3KOct 5, 11:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.90Sep 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$5.5KSep 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$5.4KSep 17, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$626.45Sep 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$275.00Sep 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$71.12Sep 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$954.03Sep 17, 07:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.33Sep 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military response before October?$2.37Sep 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$65.18Sep 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?$133.15Sep 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$2.05Sep 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$37.34Sep 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLFed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?$0.99Sep 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike on Moscow by September 30?$3.55Sep 12, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $498.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".