Yummy-Filter
0xfa1ed68dffa44ade14e5fc5c30f47958afe23546
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in November 2025?
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will fewer than 215 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- CAVALIERS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
160 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-116.80
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 13?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 13?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Magic
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$1.45Jul 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$1.02Jul 15, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.23Jun 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.01Jun 12, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$100.00May 27, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$54.75May 26, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuxi: Adam Walton vs Yunchaokete Bu$1.02May 8, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Warriors$1.62May 1, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.15May 1, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.69May 1, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Warriors$1.00Apr 5, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Grizzlies$1.16Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMMiyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchida$1.35Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Mavericks$1.40Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Hornets$1.75Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Hawks$1.95Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Magic$1.00Mar 30, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Grizzlies$1.00Mar 30, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Mavericks$1.00Mar 30, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Hawks$1.00Mar 30, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.