Probable-Beast
0xfa21a1d253b6a049a9789de025919376cc92dfc9
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$117.92
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on May 4?
29 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$28.60
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 4?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$24.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 4?
18 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$18.23
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on May 4?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 4, 2026$16.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 4, 2026$14.91
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on May 4?$28.567h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 4?$14.908h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 4?$24.109h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on May 4?$16.3012h ago
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?$0.2814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 4?$18.2014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$15.8016h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 4?$2.6417h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 4?$14.9517h ago
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?$18.5117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on May 4?$17.6019h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on May 3?$9.5022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?$18.8022h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on May 3?$18.0922h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on May 3?$15.1923h ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 3?$6.871d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 3?$23.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on May 3?$18.101d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 57°F or below on May 3?$5.791d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 57°F or below on May 3?$1.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".