Hospitable-Spleen
0xfa225c13f58810bdc2808a499e9e74cb1cb121dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.58
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 4?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- NO
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.12
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 30?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.08
$0.08
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.54Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.37Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.71Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 4?$5.02Jun 3, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.92Jun 3, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$4.06Jun 3, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$4.01Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 30?$4.00Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$3.04Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?$4.17Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?$4.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$3.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$5.18Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$6.15Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?$6.59Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$4.13Dec 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$5.00Dec 30, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.