Hospitable-Spleen
0xfa225c13f58810bdc2808a499e9e74cb1cb121dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.54Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.37Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.71Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 4?$5.02Jun 3, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.92Jun 3, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$4.06Jun 3, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$4.01Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 30?$4.00Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$3.04Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?$4.17Apr 29, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?$4.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$3.00Feb 23, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$5.18Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$6.15Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tanzania win on 2025-12-30?$6.59Feb 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$4.13Dec 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$5.00Dec 30, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.