Small-Raiment
0xfa26024d35ebfae8ca7ec240024922df80afe1e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.23
Total PnL
$-534.52
Realised
$3.26
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
22936 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-117.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8889 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 16?
368 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-176.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?
325 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-85.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?
280 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?
125 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 1?$1.23Apr 2, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 1?$29.68Apr 1, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$0.00Apr 1, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?$85.92Mar 18, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$85.92Mar 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$152.28Mar 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 19?$152.42Mar 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 19?$242.83Mar 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$242.83Mar 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$240.50Mar 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$140.16Mar 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$140.17Mar 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$113.11Mar 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$57.04Mar 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$145.71Mar 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$147.58Mar 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$225.00Mar 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$15.40Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 17?$244.15Mar 17, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $241.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.