Puzzling-Scallion
0xfa260cc461c1b85793f630b627fa31069c782861
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$35.99
Total PnL
$-28.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
36 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$35.99
$3.60
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
178 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-18.53
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
54 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.48
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/ABOP?
53 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be VHP/ABOP?
53 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP?
53 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/ABOP?
53 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be something else?
53 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be VHP/NPS/ABOP?
53 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?
53 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$18.53Oct 2, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$3.24Sep 24, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$32.39Sep 24, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$54.00Sep 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.48Aug 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$46.98Aug 1, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$53.00Jul 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$48.13Jun 1, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be something else?$1.96Jun 1, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be VHP/NPS/ABOP?$0.37Jun 1, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?$0.44Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/ABOP?$0.35Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP?$0.27Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be VHP/ABOP?$0.31Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/ABOP?$0.21Jun 1, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill no new pope be elected in 2025?$0.00Jun 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.66Jun 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there not be a new Pope in 2025?$50.00Jun 1, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.65Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no new pope be elected in 2025?$31.00Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.