Mad-Refuge
0xfa28c521b5c2c7c81dd55162cda73e401558c37e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$167.44
Total PnL
$-913.79
Realised
$93.85
Win rate
63%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?
94 shares @ 27.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$28.32
$2.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14?
123 shares @ 22.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$26.99
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?
60 shares @ 37.7¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$25.80
$3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?
76 shares @ 36.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$24.78
$-3.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?
40 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$18.60
$2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$17.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14?
45 shares @ 34.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$13.94
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$11.50
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 9?
201 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-34.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 7?
176 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-26.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$1.76Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14?$8.88Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14?$7.16Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?$8.44Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?$8.44Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14?$17.56Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14?$11.94Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$10.31Jun 13, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$9.38Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$3.45Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$3.61Jun 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$3.60Jun 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$2.40Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$11.54Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$2.30Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$4.30Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$3.72Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?$4.02Jun 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$3.72Jun 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$3.96Jun 13, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.