Granular-Compulsion
0xfa36089ac6f2b8bc5e9eaeeb62403b3a16908944
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$22.13
Total PnL
$-37.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
xAI IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
GHO depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Databricks IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$1.00Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGHO depeg by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.23Dec 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arizona State make the College Football Playoff?$1.00Dec 8, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.01Dec 8, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 4, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".