Mealy-Conflict
0xfa3b548384608db21a3d1891555c1501867624ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$45.68
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-140.83
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
154 shares @ 26.2¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$43.32
$3.06
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
363 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.36
$-0.54
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
10913 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 29?
746 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-16.30
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
304 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 29?
300 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 27?
250 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7AM ET
224 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-122.11
- YES
Bull run: September
215 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.02May 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.74May 27, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$44.10May 24, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$15.48Mar 18, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.42Mar 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.20Mar 11, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.50Mar 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.60Feb 27, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.32Jan 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$19.20Dec 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$22.00Dec 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7AM ET$11.03Dec 10, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7AM ET$272.13Dec 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$63.90Dec 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$12.45Dec 9, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2PM ET$5.04Dec 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.00Dec 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.00Dec 8, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.00Dec 8, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $119.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".