Round-Effort
0xfa3b66093c2ab19ad50d15090917ce36057af446
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.52
Total PnL
$-7.01
Realised
$-1.69
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.66
$0.06
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$3.44
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$0.05
- NO
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$0.01
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.37Feb 22, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$486.07Feb 21, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$491.79Feb 20, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$172.74Feb 20, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$309.69Feb 20, 12:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$310.00Feb 19, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$173.70Feb 19, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$493.02Feb 19, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Feb 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$494.57Feb 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$196.45Feb 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$298.10Feb 18, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$198.00Feb 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$299.00Feb 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$497.00Feb 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.92Feb 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.17Mar 27, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.63Feb 20, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $174.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.