Trifling-Door
0xfa4229e54c2530504460402a46ceb59443852ff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-112.07
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?
8591 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.76
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?
8451 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.32
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?
8449 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.74
- YES
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?
8000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
7938 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-09?
7736 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-78.21
- YES
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?
7559 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-79.10
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
7513 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?
7460 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.93
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
7002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.03
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.55Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.41Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.17Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.57Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.58Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.01Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.26Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.56Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.49Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.84Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.95Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.07Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.35Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.72Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.67Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.12Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.10Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.79Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.17Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.66Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.