Actual-Obsidian
0xfa4a1a7c7c02fcd8fe84c012a6d9fa792d3b5a75
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$12.83
Total PnL
$-103.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?
206 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.78
$-3.88
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?
209 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.23
$-4.77
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.64
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
790 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.95
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
326 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
302 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
140 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$10.03Jul 25, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$10.38Jul 25, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$5.05Jul 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$2.58Jul 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$5.00Jul 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$0.77Jul 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$3.46Jul 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.23Jul 22, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.08Jul 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.00Jul 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.07Jul 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$5.00Jul 19, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$5.19Jul 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.00Jul 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$8.58Jul 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$1.06Jul 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in July?$2.41Jul 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$5.20Jul 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.19Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$5.20Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.