Complex-Stimulation
0xfa4bc7ebc79b6da7acf426123a1b9403be2650b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$56.32
Total PnL
$-156.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?
56 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$56.32
$1.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
183 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 28?
160 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 11PM ET
108 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-98.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
103 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 17?
89 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 27?
72 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?
59 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?
56 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on March 12?
54 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$55.05Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$3.53May 28, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$58.09May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$56.81May 24, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$1.85May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$1.69May 17, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?$53.67May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 11?$52.11May 11, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$55.04Apr 30, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 18, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$7.11Apr 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$19.24Apr 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$25.67Apr 12, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 30?$49.69Apr 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?$1.48Mar 31, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 29?$0.00Mar 31, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 30?$0.07Mar 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 30?$48.33Mar 29, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 23?$0.00Mar 29, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 29?$1.10Mar 29, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".