Gripping-Mailer
0xfa4d29d1d357b4360541cfe27c5c1eaa50da57b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$380.20
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
4618 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-618.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
2400 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-667.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
2201 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
2150 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-284.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
1900 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-292.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
1800 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
1600 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-217.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1600 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.49
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$25.76Jul 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.90Jun 30, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$88.27Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.42Jun 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.85Jun 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.42Jun 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.31Jun 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$52.75Jun 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.30Jun 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.99Jun 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.21Jun 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.53Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.30Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.30Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.15Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.99Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.23Jun 30, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Jun 26, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.64Jun 26, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Jun 26, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.