Tinted-Demand
0xfa51b8fb67f053c04d3b43b7b0addc38ebd07f9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-11.24
Win rate
9%
160 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
603 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-192.34
- IAN MACHADO GARRY
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
182 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-46.09
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
77 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
74 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.07
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
67 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$11.52Aug 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$6.20Aug 16, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$8.43Aug 16, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.14Aug 16, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$6.78Aug 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.19Aug 16, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$17.06Aug 16, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.29Aug 16, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.27Aug 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.12Aug 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$14.93Aug 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.12Aug 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$0.22Aug 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$6.17Aug 15, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$3.11Aug 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.90Aug 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$4.14Aug 14, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 160 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
160 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 160 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.