Improbable-Ecology
0xfa6c1d4064718d0fbd3708cc9d304fd8451d6d39
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$189.52
Total PnL
$-957.43
Realised
$11.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$161.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
35 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.52
$1.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 18?
758 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-63.23
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
500 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-183.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
419 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-192.20
- YES
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
339 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-143.78
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
299 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-104.86
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $101.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".