Carefree-Cesspool
0xfa702927706806763ec15c28ff80474d7eeed959
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-9.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.25
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon tweet 1075-1099 times Feb 7-14?
4060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
1840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will POTUS tweet 23-25 times Feb 7-14?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on February 13?
65 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?$1.84Feb 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 1075-1099 times Feb 7-14?$4.06Feb 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill POTUS tweet 23-25 times Feb 7-14?$1.01Feb 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on February 13?$1.75Feb 12, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Feb 5, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Feb 5, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.02Jan 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona win the UEFA Champions League?$1.01Jan 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?$1.22Jan 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude have the top AI model on December 31?$1.39Dec 29, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".