Lazy-Jellybeans
0xfa7c8f42ead9baf529fba2f7e960663a3673f70e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-178.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
148 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.23
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
134 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Sam Altman arrested before July?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
118 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-68.42
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.20Feb 8, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$14.08Feb 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Feb 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$3.00Feb 6, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 5, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$25.48Feb 2, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00Jan 26, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 24, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 24, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 24, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$3.00Jan 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$2.00Jan 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$1.00Jan 24, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$1.00Jan 24, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$1.00Jan 24, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".