Fumbling-Wombat
0xfa7d96b695df7bf8d425e7b08ce19da158952bdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$-19.8K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
680287 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.2K
$-15.3K
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
143193 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4164 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-458.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.93Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.92Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.91Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.91Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.91Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.93Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $287.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.