Traumatic-Polenta
0xfa803d48d8b9e2dd5e32d310f50b9874f45fc7e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-683.19
Realised
$-15.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
451 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-24.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
335 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
238 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-69.27
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
206 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
195 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-49.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
192 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
168 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
165 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
155 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.89
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
133 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-48.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$9.49May 23, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.32May 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.24May 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.06May 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.26May 23, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.24May 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$51.85May 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$21.11May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$62.46May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$25.80May 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.48May 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$2.56May 16, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$1.69May 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$4.80May 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$95.20May 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$1.00May 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.50May 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$10.48May 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$88.59May 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.90Apr 15, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".